Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 8.895687 10.420222 12.088280 14.043665 16.267587 18.712645 21.598522
2025-12-07 6.562659 8.686303 11.255722 14.566944 18.691708 23.629218 29.951995
2025-12-14 4.886507 7.153559 10.129799 14.263614 19.787278 26.836374 36.421858
2025-12-21 3.757413 6.007542 9.177054 13.866694 20.507357 29.433782 42.168160
2025-12-28 3.245160 5.587188 9.084564 14.532942 22.615038 33.933577 50.694705
2026-01-04 2.799538 5.163689 8.889072 14.970105 24.373120 38.026357 58.914326
2026-01-11 2.368570 4.672015 8.494772 15.017881 25.504962 41.251282 66.072771
2026-01-18 2.020612 4.250149 8.136447 15.048843 26.568563 44.403175 73.288196
2026-01-25 1.675587 3.763464 7.588015 14.677995 26.919981 46.447740 78.914932
2026-02-01 1.397110 3.346865 7.094880 14.324351 27.233925 48.412783 84.495713
2026-02-08 1.141952 2.923632 6.521339 13.744093 27.080967 49.575539 88.828109
2026-02-15 0.933267 2.554284 5.991563 13.168333 26.857887 50.570467 92.903894
2026-02-22 0.843844 2.450829 6.008192 13.693561 28.769199 55.483471 104.108436
2026-03-01 0.756698 2.337293 5.994266 14.173371 30.675359 60.588500 116.092112
2026-03-08 0.626304 2.080585 5.623590 13.871284 31.055552 63.017531 123.620126
2026-03-15 0.513662 1.838759 5.240490 13.482793 31.211358 65.029109 130.517311
2026-03-22 0.474807 1.797418 5.326854 14.132862 33.516213 71.168754 145.191987
2026-03-29 0.429017 1.722567 5.316693 14.559552 35.391278 76.613092 158.902152
2026-04-05 0.372625 1.597183 5.153867 14.606182 36.459877 80.569348 170.069198
2026-04-12 0.323646 1.481172 4.994188 14.636407 37.488429 84.504128 181.406070
2026-04-19 0.268923 1.325518 4.693768 14.274401 37.605855 86.618914 189.365586
2026-04-26 0.223555 1.187830 4.416463 13.929216 37.719427 88.718475 197.395165
2026-05-03 0.180188 1.039795 4.075292 13.362899 37.254564 89.575516 203.000812